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12. Over the next 30 years or so, our
lifestyles are likely to adjust in response
to changing socio-economic, technological
and demographic factors.
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Housing
13. With more households, there will
be a need for more housing. An estimated
3.8m additional homes (comprising new and
rehabilitated units) will be required in
the next 20 years, mostly in urban areas[6].
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Pressure on the Green Belt
14. The increased demand for housing
will put pressure on current undeveloped
land. Over 1% of England’s land area is
projected to change from rural to urban
land uses between 1991 and 2016. Land shortages
will require greater housing densities,
which may offer increased opportunities
to develop housing styles which reduce travel
dependency on private cars.
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SMART housing
15. There is likely to be a major technology-led
drive towards the SMART house. Advances
in ICT (advanced information and telecommunication
technologies), construction materials and
components will deliver improved living
conditions, including better air quality
controls, home-based (remotely controlled)
health diagnostics, facilities for the elderly,
infirm and disabled, intelligent, remote
controlled household products for energy
saving etc.
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Leisure
16. People will spend more time on leisure
associated with a larger proportion of people
in retirement, flexible working patterns
and increased opportunities for being economically
active beyond the present retirement age.
Tourism continues to grow with faster long
distance travel, and travel in non-peak
hours may increase at a greater rate relative
to commuting travel, as the retired have
more leisure time.
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Tele-working
17. The potential impact of teleworking
is unclear[7], but results from the EU
TELDET[8] project suggest that the potential
for teleworking in Europe is around one
fifth of the labour force. Optimistic views
are that teleworkers will ease traffic congestion
mainly by saving fuel.
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| 18. An alternative view is
that the widespread application of information
and communications technologies (ICT) may
generate new types of transportation as well
as reduce the need for physical transport.
ICT facilities provide increasing opportunities
to make contacts beyond geographical boundaries
which may gradually result in face-to-face
meetings. |